BMJ Global Health
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Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match BMJ Global Health's content profile, based on 113 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.13% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.
Li, D.; Xie, J.; Xue, J.; Chen, H.; Wang, X.; Shen, C.
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Background Respiratory infections remain the leading infectious cause of death among children and adolescents, yet the share of these deaths that could be averted with currently feasible care is not routinely quantified. Existing amenable-mortality frameworks rely on cause lists and population-level mortality benchmarks and do not exploit information on how many episodes occur. We propose an episode-fatality-ratio (EFR) frontier approach and apply it to lower respiratory infections (LRI), whooping cough (pertussis) and upper respiratory infections (URI) in 204 countries, 1990-2023. Methods For each cause, country and year we computed EFR = deaths/incident episodes using Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2023 estimates for ages 0-19 years. The frontier was defined as the 10th-percentile country EFR within each GBD super-region, cause and year; avoidable deaths = max(0, deaths - episodes x frontier EFR). Primary estimates are deterministic; 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs) come from 2,000 Monte Carlo draws. Sensitivity analyses varied the frontier percentile, applied an aspirational global frontier, constructed pertussis counterfactuals, and recomputed all estimates within the single under-5 age band. Results In 2023, 333,803 childhood deaths from lower respiratory infections (95% UI 289,123-417,460; 46.9% of LRI deaths) were avoidable. Summing the three causes deterministically gives 391,034 avoidable deaths (46.5% of 840,444); the combined figure is a deterministic sum, and a UI is available for the LRI component only. The pertussis (43,958; 39.0%) and URI (13,273; 81.0%) estimates are secondary: their deterministic point values fall below their own Monte Carlo intervals and the underlying death estimates carry very wide uncertainty (global pertussis UI 12,545-321,874). Avoidable deaths fell from 1,050,468 (44.9%) in 1990, but between 2019 and 2023 the avoidable share for LRI+URI barely moved (48.7% to 47.7%) while absolute avoidable deaths fell 14.5%, a pattern consistent with stalled convergence to the frontier. Sub-Saharan Africa plus South Asia held 73.1% of avoidable deaths in 2023 versus 41.8% in 1990; ten countries accounted for 59.1%. Conclusion Nearly half of childhood respiratory-infection deaths remain avoidable relative to within-region best practice, and the residual burden is increasingly concentrated in low-income settings. In the pertussis counterfactual, most countries kept pace with their regional frontier, so further gains require advancing the frontier itself through quality-of-care improvements.
Li, D.; Feng, Q.; Chen, H.; Li, J.; Wang, X.; Shen, C.
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Background Lower respiratory infections (LRI) remain the leading infectious cause of death in children, and survival once ill is a direct tracer of health-system quality. Whether countries are converging toward the best survival performance achieved within their own region has never been tested at national level. We measured each country's distance to an empirical episode-fatality-ratio (EFR) frontier in 204 countries from 1990 to 2023. Methods For each country and year we computed EFR = LRI deaths/incident episodes using Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2023 estimates for ages 0-19 years. Deaths span the full 1990-2023 series; episodes are observed for 1990, 2019 and 2023, with intermediate years linearly interpolated. The frontier was the 10th-percentile country EFR within each GBD super-region and year (sensitivity: 5th and 25th percentiles); the gap = EFR_country/EFR_frontier. We classified 33-year gap trajectories into catch-up phenotypes, ranked COVID-window (2019-2023) movers, cross-tabulated gap against avoidable deaths to build a priority list, and benchmarked upper respiratory infections (URI) at three time points as a near-zero-fatality contrast. Findings The median country's gap was 1.86 in 1990, 1.80 in 2019 and 1.86 in 2023; the share of countries more than twice their regional frontier was 44.6% in 1990 and 46.6% in 2023. Of 137 eligible countries, 67 narrowed and 69 widened their gap, with one unchanged. Nineteen countries achieved sustained catch-up, concentrated in North Africa and the Middle East (7) and Latin America (5), with China closing from 2.43 to 0.50, below its regional frontier; 28 countries regressed, led by Central Asia (Uzbekistan x3.5) and including the United States (x2.0). Over the COVID-19 window the median gap peaked at 2.00 in 2021 (+10.8% versus 2019, from unrounded medians) before returning to 1.86. Combining gap with avoidable deaths identifies two distinct policy problems: high-burden, moderate-gap giants (Nigeria 67,490 avoidable deaths, gap 2.4; India 54,109, gap 1.6) and extreme-gap outliers (Uzbekistan, gap 28.6). The Sub-Saharan Africa frontier fell further behind the High-income frontier (ratio 4.2 in 1990, 9.5 in 2023); the median Sub-Saharan African country sits 11.0 times the global 10th-percentile frontier but only 1.78 times its own regional frontier, so within-region benchmarking understates the region's true distance. URI gaps likewise did not converge (median 4.15 to 4.60). Interpretation Convergence toward the survival frontier is not the default national trajectory: over three decades the typical country made no net progress toward the best decile of its own region, and pandemic-era divergence was only partly reversed. National gap trajectories separate system-wide quality shortfalls from extreme outliers warranting audit, and expose a measurement trap in which regions whose frontiers stagnate appear closer to best practice than they are.
Shen, H.; Agorinya, I. A.; Ayanore, M. A.; Brede, M.; Chapman, A.; Head, M.
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Introduction Safe and timely blood availability remains a major global health challenge, especially in low- and middle-income countries. Digital tools may accelerate donor contact, but digital reachability alone does not ensure that people will notice, trust and act on urgent requests to support blood donation efforts. We examined factors associated with anticipated engagement in digitally coordinated urgent blood-donor mobilisation among digitally reachable adults in Ghana. Methods We conducted a cross-sectional online survey from September 2025 to January 2026 across Ghana's 16 regions. Participants were recruited via Facebook advertising and snowball sampling. Factors associated with urgent blood-donor mobilisability were assessed under four criteria: high future-donation willingness; high willingness to install a trusted donation app; high willingness to respond to a trusted urgent-request; and high practical flexibility to leave current activities. Descriptive analyses and multivariable logistic regression examined prevalence and associated factors. Results Among 1,067 participants, 577 (54.1%) met all four criteria. Future-donation willingness (91.8%), trusted-app installation willingness (83.2%) and trusted-request response willingness (82.7%) were common, whereas practical flexibility was lower (66.6%). In the adjusted model, high formal health-system trust (adjusted OR (AOR) 3.95, 95% CI 2.08-7.50), high digital-response readiness (AOR 2.26, 1.66-3.08), previous donation (AOR 1.47, 1.08-2.01), high donation knowledge (AOR 1.42, 1.03-1.97) and willingness to donate to strangers were positively associated with high mobilisability. Women (AOR 0.60, 0.43-0.83), participants reporting a work-schedule barrier (AOR 0.43, 0.29-0.66) and those travelling over 30 min to the nearest healthcare facility at night (AOR 0.66, 0.45-0.96) had lower adjusted odds. Conclusions Digital reachability and stated donation willingness may overestimate the population pool available for emergency donation. Digital blood-donor solutions should consider verifiable health-system requests, account for response readiness and current availability, and connect willing individuals with accessible collection options and transport support where needed.
Ezeanosike, O. B.; Ezeanosike, E.; Anoke, C. I.; Okoro, O.; Orjingene, O.; Chukwu, E.; Okoli, U.
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Background. Nigeria carries one of the world's largest burdens of neonatal death and remains far from the Sustainable Development Goal target. Whether health financing and macroeconomic instability are associated with newborn survival has rarely been examined for neonatal mortality specifically. Methods. We conducted an ecological time-series analysis of national annual data, covering 1990-2024 for macroeconomic models (n = 35) and 2000-2023 for health-financing models (n = 24), the periods for which published data exist; no values were imputed. Neonatal mortality came from the UN Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation 2025 round with 90% uncertainty intervals, and other series from the World Development Indicators. The primary model regressed log neonatal mortality on government health expenditure per capita (purchasing power parity), out-of-pocket share and currency instability, with a linear trend, a post-break trend spline and Newey-West standard errors; first differences without trend terms were the main sensitivity analysis. The break was located by segmented regression; currency instability was tested under four constructions. Results. The decline broke around 2010, the trend moving from -0.74 to +0.14 deaths per 1,000 annually (F = 145.4, p < 0.001). The subsequent rise fell within estimation uncertainty (2012: 37.6, 90% interval 33.9-41.5; 2022: 39.3, 33.4-46.4), supporting stagnation rather than reversal; Demographic and Health Surveys concur, reporting 42 per 1,000 for the five years preceding the 1990 survey and 41 preceding the 2024 survey. Government health expenditure per capita was inversely associated with neonatal mortality (-0.040, 95% CI -0.051 to -0.029, p < 0.001; first differences -0.016, p = 0.033) and was the only expenditure measure surviving both specifications; share-of-GDP measures did not (p = 0.196 and 0.889) and correlated positively in raw terms. Currency instability showed no association under any construction (p = 0.65-0.83). Public expenditure per capita moved non-monotonically, peaking in 2005, falling by 2010 and recovering by 2023 to a level still below the 2005 peak. Conclusions. Neonatal mortality in Nigeria is ecologically associated with public health expenditure per capita, but not with commonly used share-based measures, nor with currency instability. Rising public spending accompanied stalled progress, directing attention toward how health resources are converted into services. Annual modelled mortality estimates could not support year-to-year inference, a limitation relevant to comparable studies
Bergman, D.; Nyehangane, D.; Besancon, L.; Podkorytova, M.; Tsoumari, V.; Staikoglou, D.; Kimuli, A. N.; Richard, M. R.; Ogwok, P.; Nankoma, C.; Alfven, T.; Mwanga-Amumpaire, J.; Gaudenzi, G.
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All primary healthcare centers owned by the Ugandan government in the Western Region of Uganda were submitted to a questionnaire concerning current availability of POCT from the Essential diagnostic List 2 part 1a and 1b, and the African laboratory inventory done by African Society of Laboratory Medicine and AfricaCDC. The data from the questionnaire was then linked to open source geodata provided by TomTom, and population data to calculate and visualize the accessibility of captured POCT. Findings: Availability of POCT Malaria is almost 100%, HIV 68-90%, and >30% for a majority of the POCT in the EDL-2 panel. 90% of the population in Western Region live within 1 hour by car from most of the essential POCT. Figures in the complementary web-based application visualize the accessibility of POCT for Western Uganda. Diagnostic deserts are visualized. Interpretation: Access to POCT at primary health care facilities in western Uganda has expanded substantially over the past decades. The geo-mapping tool presented here could inform policy decisions on strengthening diagnostic capacity at the national, regional, and provincial level. Funding: Swedish Research Council and Infravis All supplementary materials and a preprint of this submission are available on our OSF repository https://osf.io/j7puk/.
Gabida, M.; Kazonga, E.; Bowa, K.
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Abstract Preventable neonatal deaths remain a major public health problem in Zimbabwe, where near-universal antenatal and facility-delivery coverage coexist with a rising neonatal mortality rate. This study evaluated whether institutionalising three core "vital signs" of the community health system (a trained village health worker (VHW) workforce, functional community governance structures, and modified women's and men's participatory learning and action groups) reduces preventable neonatal deaths in Mashonaland West Province. An embedded QUAN (qual) mixed-methods design was used, with a two-arm, parallel-group cluster-randomised controlled trial as the dominant strand. Fifty-two ward-level clusters were randomised 1:1 to the institutionalised community health system package or to standard Ministry of Health and Child Care community services, and 984 pregnant women were enrolled between 1 September 2020 and 31 October 2021, with each mother-infant pair followed to 28 days after delivery, yielding 973 mother-infant pairs for intention-to-treat analysis. The primary outcome was neonatal death within 28 days of life, expressed per 1,000 live births. The primary analysis used a three-level mixed-effects log-binomial regression model with cluster and community-health-worker random intercepts, adjusted for pre-specified covariates. Supervised machine-learning classifiers with leave-one-cluster-out cross-validation, Cox proportional-hazards regression, and multilevel logistic models were fitted as supplementary analyses. An embedded longitudinal process evaluation used key informant interviews and focus group discussions, which were analysed thematically and integrated with the quantitative findings. The neonatal mortality rate was 44.8 per 1,000 live births in the intervention arm versus 110.1 per 1,000 in the control arm. The adjusted risk ratio for neonatal death was 0.43 (95% CI 0.26-0.70; p < 0.001), a 57% relative reduction, with a number needed to treat of 16 mother-infant pairs (95% CI 11-29). Low birthweight (<2,500 g), birth interval under two years, and low community women's literacy were the strongest risk factors, while trained VHWs, functional community governance, early antenatal care, and sustained participatory group attendance were independently protective. The women's and men's groups were protective in a dose-dependent manner, becoming significant at four or more cycles (about 14 meetings) (adjusted odds ratio 0.71; 95% CI 0.60-0.85; p = 0.001). A random forest classifier discriminated against neonatal deaths with a cross-validated area under the curve of 0.842 and a sensitivity of 0.912. Qualitative findings converged with the trial results, identifying male engagement, earlier care-seeking, danger-sign literacy, social-network activation, and community death audits as the behavioural and structural mechanisms of change. Institutionalising the community health system package (trained VHWs, functional governance, early antenatal engagement, and sustained participatory groups) was associated with a substantial reduction in preventable neonatal deaths. The findings suggest that in high-coverage, high-mortality settings, the binding constraint is structural rather than clinical, and that scaling functional community governance and workforce infrastructure in the most disadvantaged communities may accelerate progress toward neonatal survival targets. The principal limitations are a one-year follow-up period, the rarity of neonatal death, and concurrent national programming that only partially reached the control clusters. Trial registration: Pan African Clinical Trials Registry, PACTR202607591142118 (https://pactr.samrc.ac.za/TrialDisplay.aspx?TrialID=PACTR202607591142118); registered retrospectively on 7 July 2026.
Li, D.; Chen, H.; Xie, J.; Li, J.; Wang, X.; Shen, C.
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Background The historic decline in childhood pneumonia mortality was driven substantially by single-pathogen vaccines against Haemophilus influenzae type b (Hib) and Streptococcus pneumoniae. Yet the pathogen spectrum underlying child pneumonia deaths is diversifying: the effective number of pathogens rose from 5.57 in 1990 to 9.94 in 2023, and the residual burden is shifting toward opportunistic and hospital-associated pathogens for which no licensed childhood vaccines exist. This paper asks how resources should be sequenced between single-pathogen interventions and platform investments as this transition proceeds. Methods We analyzed Global Burden of Disease Study 2023 deaths from 29 pathogens in ages 0-19 years by super-region, combined with WHO/UNICEF Estimates of National Immunization Coverage (WUENIC) for PCV3 and Hib3. We quantified the spectrum transition under two denominators (26- and 29-pathogen calibers), constructed a share-by-intervenability matrix assigning each pathogen to a dominant intervention channel (vaccine-reachable, mixed, platform-sensitive) under explicit classification rules, compared platform-sensitive deaths with a transparently computed scenario of residual vaccine-preventable deaths, and cross-classified pathogens by age tropism and poverty lock. We anchored platform interventions to verified published evidence. Results The vaccine-preventable group share fell from 54.0% to 40.2% while the opportunistic/hospital group rose from 18.1% to 23.1% (29-pathogen caliber, 1990-2023). Super-region vaccine coverage showed no significant association with pathogen-share change (PCV3 Spearman rho = 0.108, p = 0.818; Hib3 rho = -0.036, p = 0.939), a null result we report as evidence that simple coverage-burden correlations do not hold at the regional level, not as evidence against vaccine value. In 2023, vaccine-reachable pathogens accounted for 441,410 deaths (45.7%, channel including COVID-19), mixed for 126,926 (13.1%), and platform-sensitive pathogens for 396,995 (41.1%). Platform-sensitive deaths were 2.9-5.1 times the scenario estimate of residual vaccine-preventable deaths (52,435-77,512). Nine of 14 classifiable pathogens fell into the poverty-locked, infant-tropic cell (480,922 deaths; Fisher OR = 9.0, p = 0.1758). Conclusions The marginal value of single-pathogen strategies declines as the spectrum diversifies and residual deaths concentrate in platform-sensitive, poverty-locked, infant-tropic pathogens. Vaccine scale-up remains a certain and sizeable opportunity; the next increment of marginal resources should increasingly fund platform capabilities (oxygen systems, antimicrobial access and stewardship, infection prevention and control, referral, and nutrition) delivered as a package to the populations where the residual burden is locked.
Li, D.; Chen, H.; Miao, Y.; Zhang, Y.; Wang, X.; Shen, C.
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Background Childhood respiratory infectious deaths are partitioned across four Global Burden of Disease cause modules-26 etiological attributions within lower respiratory infections, tuberculosis, COVID-19, and whooping cough-never jointly reported. Whether the structure of this combined mortality spectrum has changed over time, and with what implications for intervention design, has not been quantified. We assembled and analyzed the integrated spectrum for children and adolescents aged 0-19 years, 1990-2023. Methods We integrated Global Burden of Disease Study 2023 (release v8352) estimates into a 29-node spectrum-26 lower respiratory infection etiologies plus tuberculosis, COVID-19, and pertussis-globally and across seven super-regions, with uncertainty propagated by summing bounds. We computed Shannon diversity, Herfindahl concentration, and effective cause counts; phenotyped pandemic-window collapse and rebound per cause; linked pathogen shares to WHO/UNICEF vaccine coverage; and mapped geographic concentration in sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia. Reporting follows GATHER. Results In 2023 the 29 causes jointly accounted for 965,330 deaths (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 680,096-1,342,437). Shannon diversity rose from 2.336 to 2.711 (+16.1%) between 1990 and 2023; the effective number of causes nearly doubled (5.57 to 9.94), inversely coupled to total deaths (Spearman rho = -0.997). Whooping cough ranked second (112,954 deaths; 95% UI 64,576-185,708; 11.7%) and showed the spectrum's only rebound above 100% (-57.4% collapse, +111.0% rebound). Tuberculosis ranked third (87,764; 57,779-124,912; 9.1%) with the highest concentration in sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia (87.1%). COVID-19 entered at rank five (52,899; 47,275-59,183; 5.5%). Nineteen of 29 causes exceeded the poverty-lock threshold (>80.59% of deaths in sub-Saharan Africa plus South Asia). Conclusions Childhood respiratory infectious mortality has become more diverse and more concentrated in poverty as it has declined. Single-pathogen interventions now address a shrinking share; the spectrum's structure argues for platform interventions-oxygen, antimicrobial access, referral-tailored jointly by age and geography, implying that pathogen-specific strategies alone cannot finish the remaining mortality agenda.
Lee, H.-W.; Huang, Y.-H.; McAndrew, T. C.
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Introduction. By the end of 2023, many low-income countries had not reached 50% COVID-19 vaccine coverage, while most high-income countries had exceeded 80%. It remains unclear whether receiving vaccine deliveries translated into faster population coverage. We examined cross-national inequalities in the timing of the vaccine rollout and whether deliveries through the COVID-19 Vaccines Global Access (COVAX) facility were associated with subsequent national uptake. Methods. We conducted an observational study of 218 countries and territories using country-level data up to December 2023. We used generalized additive mixed models to identify country-level correlates of coverage at an early and a later stage of the pandemic, survival analysis to compare the time to 50% coverage between COVAX Advance Market Commitment (AMC) and non-AMC countries, and an event study to estimate the association between the timing of the first COVAX delivery and subsequent monthly coverage in AMC countries. Results. AMC-supported countries reached 50% coverage substantially more slowly than non-AMC countries. The hazard of reaching the threshold was 0.17 times that of non-AMC countries at month 1 (95% CI 0.07 to 0.41) and 0.53 times at month 18 (95% CI 0.33 to 0.85). One year after rollout began, 65.9% of AMC countries (95% CI 56.7 to 76.6) had not reached 50% coverage, compared with 21.1% of non-AMC countries (95% CI 15.1 to 29.5). The timing of COVAX deliveries was not significantly associated with subsequent national uptake in any post-delivery month. In the early stage of rollout, higher maternal mortality was associated with lower coverage, while a larger urban population was associated with higher coverage. By the end of the observation period, larger household size was associated with lower coverage, while higher health expenditure and a larger urban population were associated with higher coverage. Conclusion. Receiving COVAX deliveries was not, on its own, associated with faster coverage. Coverage differences were more consistently associated with country-level structural and health-system characteristics, while we found no significant association with the timing of the first COVAX delivery. Achieving vaccine equality likely requires strengthening the capacity of health systems to convert deliveries into administered doses, and preparedness efforts should invest in last-mile delivery capacity ahead of future emergencies.
Banda, M. D.; Malambo, M.
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Despite Malawi's progress toward the UNAIDS 95-95-95 targets, facility-level rights-based challenges in HIV services persist, including stigma, discrimination and limited community participation. Community-led monitoring (CLM) has been promoted as an accountability mechanism, yet independent, facility-level evidence from urban settings remains scarce. This convergent parallel mixed-methods study assessed CLM at Ndirande and Limbe health facilities in Blantyre using a client survey (n=250), key informant interviews (n=12), and focus group discussions (three groups, 15 participants), totalling 277 participants. Chi-square tests (with Cramer's V) and binary logistic regression were used for the quantitative data; qualitative data were thematically analysed and triangulated. Analysis was guided by the rights-based approach to health and Arnstein's ladder of citizen participation. Awareness of CLM was moderate (56.0%) but participation was lower (40.2%), with involvement rated 2.78 out of 5, indicating consultative engagement. Awareness of CLM was the strongest and only robust predictor of participation (adjusted odds ratio {approx} 5.0, 95% confidence interval 2.4-10.6, p<0.001); a bivariate gender association did not survive adjustment. Notably, 41% of participants engaged in monitoring without recognising the term "CLM." CLM strengthened community-provider communication (68.5%) more than responsiveness (36.2%). Accountability mechanisms existed but functioned informally and were inconsistently documented. The two facilities did not differ significantly on any of nine indicators (all p>0.12). Barriers were structural: funding, transport, staff attitudes, fear of reprisal, and cultural norms. Urban CLM is a real but under-institutionalised accountability practice. The decisive lever is closing the awareness-action gap and formalising existing, unrecognised community monitoring through low-cost documentation, scheduled feedback, and independent, confidential complaint mechanisms. Findings are analytically transferable and offered as hypotheses for national piloting rather than as statistically generalisable conclusions.
Garcia Campos, M. A.; Rocha, T. A. H.; Perez de Souza, J. V.; Murase, L. S.; Murta, F.; Sartim, M. A.; Sachett, J.; Seabra de Farias, A.; Azevedo Machado, V.; Wen, F. H.; Staton, C. A.; Monteiro, W. M.; Gerardo, C. J.; Nickenig Vissoci, J. R.
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Background: Snakebite envenoming is a major cause of preventable death and disability in the Brazilian Amazon, where long distances, sparse roads, and dependence on river transport delay access to antivenom. We developed location-allocation models to identify community health centers that could strategically expand access to antivenom in Amazonas State, Brazil. Methodology/Principal Findings: We conducted an ecological geospatial study using a 2025 WorldPop population surface, locations of existing and candidate health facilities, and a multimodal road-and-river transportation network derived from OpenStreetMap and HydroSHEDS. Population demand was represented by 7,065 populated centroids, including 1,586 within Indigenous territories. We applied a maximize-coverage algorithm with a six-hour travel-time threshold. Two models were developed: one for Amazonas excluding Manaus and one for populations living in Indigenous territories. Both models began with 77 facilities already providing antivenom and progressively added candidate community health centers until coverage gains plateaued. The plateau occurred at 110 facilities, corresponding to 33 additional centers. In the model excluding Manaus, this configuration covered 1,118,831 people, or 75.11% of the target population; 87.61% of those covered could reach care within three hours. In Indigenous territories, coverage increased from 50.55% to 69.50%, reaching 50,434 people, of whom 81.39% were within three hours of care. Validation used 3,595 snakebite notifications from the 30 highest-burden municipalities in the Brazilian Notifiable Diseases Information System during 2023-2025. The median proportion reaching care within six hours was 40.81% in observed data and 72.17% in model estimates. Conclusions/Significance: Strategically equipping 33 additional existing community health centers could substantially expand timely access to antivenom, particularly in rural and Indigenous areas. Location-allocation modeling that incorporates river transportation can support evidence-based decentralization of time-sensitive health services in geographically complex settings.
Honore, A.; Rech, T.; Scrivens, A.; Binotto, I.; Zandvoort, C. S.; van der Staaij, H.; Peck, M.; Zivanovic, S.; Stanworth, S. J.; Hartley, C.; Dame, C.; Deschmann, E.; the Neonatal Transfusion Network,
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Background and Objectives: Preterm infants are commonly transfused, yet direct cardiorespiratory effects of red blood cell (RBC) transfusions remain poorly understood. We explored the feasibility of using multicentre electronic health data (EHD) to study such cardiorespiratory responses. Methods: Highly granular routine EHD were collected from preterm infants born <32 weeks gestational age at three European centres. Heart rate, oxygen saturation, and respiratory rate were evaluated 12 hours before and after the RBC transfusion. Results: A total of 321 transfusions in 164 infants were analysed. Overall, there was no significant change in the rate of bradycardia and apnoea following transfusion. Cardiorespiratory parameters varied substantially between infants; e.g. 20% of transfusions were associated with an unexpected, significant increase in heart rate. Respiratory rate and oxygen saturation exhibited similarly heterogenous patterns following transfusion. In sub-group analysis, the proportion of transfusions with increased heart rate was significantly higher within the first two weeks than later (32% vs 13%, p=0.0019). Conclusions: Multicentre EHD extraction allows to identify otherwise masked short-term effects of RBC transfusions on cardiorespiratory parameters, possibly indicating cardiac or pulmonary overload. Such effects may vary with adaptation to anaemia. Analysing EHD may ultimately enable personalized transfusion practice.
Juma, N. A.; Bofu, R. M.; Kessy, J.; Burke, J.
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Postnatal care (PNC) is essential for reducing preventable maternal and neonatal deaths, but its utilization remain low across sub-Saharan Africa. Intimate Partner Violence (IPV) may be an under-recognized barrier to PNC utilization, particularly in Tanzania, where direct evidence shows that IPV is linked to limited utilization of PNC. Therefore, this study assessed the association between IPV and PNC utilization within 42 days postpartum among women in Tanzania. This study conducted a secondary analysis of the 2022 Tanzania Demographic and Health Survey (TDHS), a nationally representative cross-sectional survey. The analysis included 2,674 women aged 15-49 years who had a live birth in the five years preceding the survey and were selected for the domestic violence module. IPV (any, physical, sexual, and emotional) was the primary exposure, and PNC utilization within 42 days postpartum was the outcome. Modified Poisson regression was used to estimate crude and adjusted prevalence ratios (cPR/aPR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) because the prevalence of the outcome was common. The prevalence of PNC utilization within 42 days postpartum was 42.0%, and the overall prevalence of IPV was 33.6% (physical 26.1%, emotional 21.8% and sexual 7.3%). Women who experienced any IPV had 16% lower PNC utilization than those who did not (aPR=0.84; 95% CI: 0.74-0.96). Physical IPV (16%, aPR=0.84; 95% CI: 0.73-0.96) and sexual IPV (25%, aPR=0.75; 95% CI: 0.57-0.98) were significantly associated with lower PNC utilization, while emotional IPV was not. Maternal education, partners age, travel time to the nearest health facility, and media exposure were also other covariates associated with PNC utilization. Intimate partner violence is associated with low utilization of PNC within 42 days postpartum in Tanzania. Integrating IPV screening and survivor support into postnatal care services, alongside addressing structural barriers to access, may improve postpartum care coverage and maternal-neonatal outcomes.
Wantakisha, E. W. R.; Nyirenda, S.; Narayani, M.
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Background Rural-urban disparities in SARS-CoV-2 infection epidemiology remain poorly quantified and understood in Zambia despite differences in healthcare access, services and preventive interventions. This study examined the geographical distribution and associated factors of SARS-CoV-2 cases across selected rural and urban districts of Zambia. Methods A convergent mixed-methods study comprised of quantitative survey and qualitative interviews was conducted in; Ndola (Urban), Kafue (Peri-urban) and Lufwanyama (Rural). The proximate determinant framework guided variable selection and interpretation. Quantitative combined (Hospital-surveillance data with community survey), while qualitative included In-depth interviews. Participants were sampled using multistage sampling technique. Quantitative data were analysed using STATA version 17, while qualitative data were analysed thematically. Findings were integrated through triangulation. Results A total of 528 participants were included, with a median age 31 years (15-71). Overall SARS-CoV-2 positivity was 12.6%, varying across rural (16.5%), peri-urban (14.9%), and urban (9.9%) settings, though residence was not associated with infection (P<0.132). Participants aged [≥]49 years had significantly higher odds of infection (aOR=8.78; 95% CI:1.15-66.99), whereas secondary education (aOR=0.37; 95% CI:0.16-0.86) and hospital-based testing (aOR=0.37; 95% CI:0.15-0.92) were associated with lower odds of infection. Vaccine uptake was highest in urban areas but was not independently associated with infection. Qualitative findings revealed marked rural-urban differences in perceived susceptibility, testing access, vaccine decision-making, and adherence to preventive measures, explaining several quantitative observations. Conclusion SARS-CoV-2 infection across rural and urban settings in Zambia was influenced by demographic, behavioral, and health-system factors rather than geographic residence alone. These findings highlight the need for context-specific prevention strategies, equitable access to testing, strengthened community surveillance, and targeted risk communication to improve preparedness and response for future respiratory disease outbreaks.
Mwenda, R. B.; Seif, S. A.; Stephano, R. O.; Moshi, F. V.
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Background Birth Preparedness and Complication Readiness (BPCR) education is an important component of antenatal care. However, health education materials translated from one language into another may lose their intended meaning if linguistic, cultural, experiential, and sociolinguistic differences are not considered. In Tanzania, maternal health education is commonly delivered in Swahili, while many source materials are developed in English. This study explored the cultural and linguistic equivalence of BPCR terminology and concepts in a translated Swahili BPCR education manual among Hehe pregnant women in the rural Iringa Region, Tanzania. Methods A descriptive qualitative study was conducted in seven villages across Kilolo and Mufindi districts of Iringa Region. Seven focus group discussions (FGDs) involving 56 pregnant women were conducted. Participants were purposively selected from the Hehe community and were asked to interpret terminology and concepts contained in a harmonized Swahili BPCR education manual. The translation and adaptation process comprised six sequential steps: forward translation, synthesis, back translation, expert review, community exploration, and finalization. FGDs were conducted in Swahili by trained facilitators fluent in both Swahili and Hehe, audio-recorded with consent, transcribed, and thematically analyzed using Braun and Clarkes six-phase approach. Analysis focused on semantic, conceptual, experiential, and sociolinguistic equivalence. Reporting was informed by the Consolidated Criteria for Reporting Qualitative Research (COREQ). Results Five themes were developed: (1) culturally and linguistically familiar expressions conveyed BPCR concepts; (2) experiential and contextual language shaped descriptions of danger signs; (3) sociolinguistic norms and modesty influenced communication about sensitive health topics; (4) some clinically important concepts had partial or limited conceptual equivalence; and (5) unfamiliar concepts required supplementary explanation. Participants identified culturally familiar expressions including "matazamio ya kujifungua" ("anticipated date of delivery"), "fedha ndiyo usafiri" ("money itself is transport"), "chupa imepasuka" ("the water bag has burst"), "mtoto kutokucheza tumboni" ("the baby is not moving in the womb"), and "sehemu za siri" ("private parts"). Some expressions were familiar but broader than their biomedical equivalents, while cord prolapse and neonatal cyanosis had no readily recognized community equivalents. Conclusion The findings indicate that cultural and linguistic equivalence cannot be achieved through literal translation alone. Community exploration identified expressions that were familiar and socially acceptable while also revealing clinical concepts requiring additional explanation. The findings informed refinement of the Swahili BPCR education manual while preserving the intended clinical meaning. The adapted terminology should subsequently be evaluated separately for its effects on knowledge, attitudes, practices, and other health outcomes.
Natukunda, J.; Muwanguzi, P.; Ngabirano, T. D.; Atuhaire, B.; Nalubega, S. J.; Auma, C.; Nabunya, R.
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Background: Ebola virus disease is a life-threatening illness caused by the Ebolavirus, with symptoms manifesting two to twenty-one days after infection. Although Uganda has faced multiple Ebola outbreaks, many patients survive only to encounter persistent challenges. Therefore, this study explored the post-discharge experiences of survivors following the 2022 Ebola Virus Disease outbreak in Uganda. Methods: An exploratory qualitative study comprising of in-depth participant interviews was conducted at Mubende Regional Referral Hospital in central Uganda. Interviews were face-to-face and data were analyzed manually by inductive content analysis. Ten male and female participants were Ebola Virus Disease survivors in Mubende district who had lived in the community for at least six months post-discharge from the Ebola Treatment Unit. Results: Four themes emerged: (i) Psychosocial Burdens and Social Exclusion, (ii) Economic Hardship and Loss of Financial Stability, (iii) Chronic Physical and Health Burdens Post-Recovery and (iv) Rebuilding Lives: Psychological, Social, and Medical Pathways to Recovery. Survivors faced significant emotional burdens such as survivor guilt, grief, trauma from loss, and anxiety about transmission risks. They experienced social isolation, stigma, and discrimination, which often led to their exclusion from community activities. Financially, they struggled with debt and the loss of livelihoods, compounded by ongoing health issues. Additionally, survivors endured chronic physical complications, including pain and fatigue, which hindered their recovery. Despite these challenges, survivors sought psychological, social, and medical pathways to recovery, including confirmation of their recovery, support from family and organizations, and health maintenance practices. Supportive medical care and community assistance were crucial in their physical and emotional rehabilitation. Conclusion: Ebola Virus Disease survivors in Uganda face significant psychosocial, health, social, and economic challenges post-discharge. The findings highlight the critical need for comprehensive medical and community-based support systems to aid survivors' recovery and well-being. Further research on long-term neurological effects and community reintegration programmes is needed to inform targeted interventions that support Ebola survivors and reduce stigma and discrimination.
Nida, G. G.; Khunou, S.; Mphuthi, D.
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Background: Sexual and reproductive health (SRH) is essential for youth development, particularly in Sub-Saharan Africa where youth represent a significant proportion of the population. Despite global efforts to promote Sexual and Reproductive Health rights, many disadvantaged youths face barriers to accessing comprehensive information and services. Youth-friendly sexual and reproductive health (YFSRH) services are central to improving youth health outcomes. Despite national standards in Ethiopia, implementation challenges persist. Healthcare workers (HCWs) are key actors in promoting and delivering YFSRH services Method: A concurrent mixed-methods design was employed among youth (18-24 years) and health care workers in Guraghe Zone, Southern Ethiopia. Quantitative data were collected using self-administered questionnaires, while qualitative data were gathered through key informant interviews. Quantitative data were analyzed using SPSS version 29, and qualitative data were analyzed thematically. Result: Although youths showed strong interest in Sexual and Reproductive Health information, help-seeking was often delayed due to discomfort, secrecy, social pressure, and limited foresight. Utilization of youth-friendly Sexual and Reproductive Health services was constrained by distance, inconvenient service hours, limited privacy and confidentiality, perceived judgmental provider attitudes, and financial barriers, reducing trust and repeat use. Conclusion: Improving youth Sexual and Reproductive Health requires integrated actions across education, families, and health services. Strengthening multi-channel Sexual and Reproductive Health education with life skills and psychosocial support, alongside decentralized, affordable, confidential, and non-judgmental youth-friendly services, is essential.
Hassan, Z.; Zurez, Z.; Saad, M.; Ahsan, N.; Clark, R. A.; White, R. G.; Kazi, A. M.; Nelson, K.
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Background: Tuberculosis (TB) remains a major public health challenge globally, with Pakistan ranking among the highest TB burden countries worldwide. Although several novel TB vaccine candidates for adolescents and adults are advancing through late-stage clinical trials, little is known about how these vaccines may be introduced in high-burden settings such as Pakistan. Understanding stakeholder perspectives is crucial for informing early implementation planning and policy development. Methods: We conducted an exploratory qualitative study using semi-structured in-depth interviews with key stakeholders involved in TB control, immunization, clinical care, and health policy in Pakistan. Participants were purposively selected from national and provincial TB programs, Expanded Programme on Immunization (EPI), clinical settings, and academia. Interviews were conducted in English or Urdu, audio-recorded, transcribed verbatim, and analyzed using reflexive thematic analysis following the Braun and Clarke framework. A hybrid deductive-inductive coding approach was used. Results: Ten stakeholders participated including one whose interview also served as a pilot test of the interview guide. Participants expressed strong support for the introduction of a new TB vaccine, driven largely by Pakistan's high TB burden and the limitations of current prevention strategies. However, support was based on the availability of strong evidence regarding vaccine safety, effectiveness, and feasibility. Key barriers to vaccine acceptability included low perceived risk of TB, misinformation, stigma, sociocultural influences, and limited public awareness. Stakeholders emphasized community engagement, trusted healthcare providers, and effective communication as critical enablers. Health system challenges included workforce shortages, cold chain limitations, and financing constraints. Household contacts of TB patients were consistently identified as the priority group followed by adolescents and people living with HIV. A phased implementation strategy was broadly preferred followed by gradual integration into existing health services. Conclusion: Stakeholders in Pakistan broadly support new TB vaccines for adolescents and adults. Successful implementation will require addressing sociocultural barriers, strengthening health system capacity, and developing context-specific delivery and prioritization strategies. Early stakeholder engagement and implementation planning are essential for meaningful public health impact in Pakistan.
Nakabuubi, B. C.; Nabunya, R.; Ngabirano, T. D.; Nankumbi, J.; Kabiri, L.; Kigozi, E.; Christine, A.; Musindi, D.; Alinda, I.; Kyokwijuka, A. M.; Muwanguzi, P.
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Introduction: Clinical students are a future health workforce, yet their roles during outbreaks of highly infectious diseases remain uncertain because of safety, training, supervision and welfare concerns. Ugandas 2022 outbreak of Ebola disease caused by Sudan ebolavirus highlighted the need to understand how clinical students perceive outbreak-related care. Aim: This study explored willingness to care for patients with Ebola virus disease among clinical students at a Ugandan medical school and examined how perceived risks, perceived benefits and support needs shaped that willingness. Methods: An exploratory descriptive qualitative study was conducted among clinical students of Makerere University in Kampala, Uganda. Fifteen undergraduate medical and nursing students in the later years of training were purposively selected. Data were collected through in-depth interviews, audio-recorded with consent, transcribed verbatim, de-identified and analysed using latent content analysis. The Health Belief Model sensitised interpretation, and reporting was strengthened using the COREQ guidance. Results: Five interrelated themes emerged, showing that willingness to care was conditional rather than simply present or absent. Students described an initial willingness grounded in professional duty, devotion to patients and the desire to save life. This willingness was restrained by perceived risks of contracting Ebola virus disease, dying, transmitting infection to family members or colleagues, emotional distress, lack of epidemic-readiness in the curriculum, inadequate preparedness and weak welfare support. Perceived benefits, including patient survival, professional learning, outbreak experience and personal fulfilment, strengthened willingness but did not override safety concerns. Students identified reliable personal protective equipment, epidemic-ready curricula, practical infection-prevention and control training, simulation, clear protocols, close supervision, psychosocial support, insurance and fair compensation as cues to action that could convert willingness into safe participation. Conclusions: Clinical students in this Ugandan teaching hospital expressed a strong sense of professional responsibility, but their willingness to participate in Ebola care was conditional upon preparedness, protection, epidemic-ready education and institutional trust. Professional duty and learning opportunities promoted participation, whereas perceived risks and inadequate support limited it. Medical education programmes and outbreak-response systems should develop ethical, supervised, competency-based student roles supported by practical curricula, reliable protective equipment and psychosocial and welfare safeguards.
Landray, I.; Carpenter, J.; Free, C.
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Background Preventing sexually transmitted re-infections brings health benefits and can be significantly less costly than treating their sequelae. Safetxt is a potential novel digital intervention developed to promote safer sexual behaviours. However, a recent randomised controlled trial of safetxt found no effect on reinfection at 1 year (OR 1.13, 95%CI: 0.98-1.31). We investigated if safetxt's effect was mediated through sexually risky behaviours. Methods We used data from 6248 young people with STIs from 92 UK sexual health clinics. The direct and indirect effects of safetxt on reinfection were estimated using the counterfactual approach. Condom use at last sexual encounter, number of sexual partners and STI testing were assessed as mediators. These were analysed singly and together, using regression models and a formal weighting approach. The assumptions of each approach were considered and tested. Analyses were repeated in the subgroup showing the most promising effect of safetxt: men who have sex with men or with men and women (MSM/MSMW). Results No evidence was found for the total, indirect or direct effects differing from the null. Despite not being significant, for MSM/MSMW, some of safetxt's effect on reducing reinfection was identified as being offset through its effect on number of sexual partners. Conclusions There was no evidence that safetxt's effect on reinfection was mediated through changes in sexually risky behaviours. Adaptations to specifically target these behaviours are unlikely to improve safetxt's overall effect. However, improving safetxt's effect on the number of sexual partners a participant has may improve its effect for MSM/MSMW.